The
influence of the USA on the Maidan protests is grossly overestimated.
Mass movements are not so easily bought—and the US has other
priorities. BY
ALICE
BOTA,
editor for the German weekly Die Zeit. Translated by Charles
Kirchofer.
Originally
published
in German on 21 May 2015 at 07:26 AM CEST
©
Private
These
days, whenever a people somewhere rises up and a government falls,
large sections of the left quickly identify who is responsible: It
was the Americans. They were never too good for coup attempts when
they were in their own interest, after all. They were willing to use
any means, whether in Panama, Chile, Nicaragua, Iran—the list is
long. So why should it be any different for the
Maidan
protests
in Ukraine in 2014? Only that this time, the people were stirred up.
Many
then like to point to the book The
Grand Chessboard
by the former US presidential adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski. In it, he
refers to Ukraine as the “geopolitical linchpin” that determines
the tectonics shifts of all of Europe—as if this were already
evidence of American power politics rather than just theory.
The role of
the US in Eastern and Central Europe is so overrated and overcharged
that a short historical review can help to ground the assessment.
This is because, like Ukraine today, one country in particular is
familiar with disappointments and disenchantment when it comes to
America, namely Poland.
In
1973, the publicist Juliusz Mieroszewski published an article in the
Polish exile magazine Kultura
about
American “Ostpolitik” (“eastern policy”). Mieroszewski
belonged to the milieu of intellectuals and writers who had to flee
from Poland and fought with words from Paris for an independent
homeland. Mieroszewski remarked bitterly that, while the Americans
spent $120 billion for their anti-communist Vietnam War, the uprising
in Hungary, also directed against a repressive communist regime,
didn’t even receive $120.
Just
like many Ukrainians today, back then, many oppositional Poles were
convinced that America was their natural ally and would support them
in the struggle against communism. Their hope was understandable, but
it was in vain.
For the US, Ukraine Policy is mostly about symbolism
While the
“Polish cause” was the Alpha and Omega of all politics for the
Poles, Mieroszewski wrote, it does not even exist for the Americans.
In the end, the equation was simple for him: The Soviets were both
rivals and partners of the United States, so the Americans would
never seriously attempt to change the political cartography of
Eastern Europe. This informed their policies, not the uprisings in
Budapest, Prague, and Gdansk, which were regarded with much sympathy,
but nothing more. “Overall, it must be said that the American
Ostpolitik on the European stage is purely defensive” Mieroszewski
wrote. “This defensive strategy is based on preserving the status
quo, not amending it.”
The publicist
wrote these sentences in the early seventies, but not much has
changed since then. Undoubtedly, Ukraine remains important to
America—but it will never be so important to Barack Obama that he
would risk a definitive split with Russia. And just as Richard Nixon
eventually went to Moscow in 1972 and assured its rulers of their
claim to power, so the US Secretary of State John Kerry also traveled
to Russia and said things that must have been quite sobering for
Ukrainians.
The Americans
are convinced that they need Russia for their policies in the Middle
East. Their current Ukraine Policy is mainly a bit of symbolism. They
would rather the EU did the rest.
Questionable image of human beings on the Left
Those
who are convinced that the
Maidan
uprising
in
Kiev was a fake bought by America will be unconvinced by remembering
Mieroszewski. Thanks to foundations and organizations like USAID or
the National Endowment for Democracy, the Americans have spent
millions in Ukraine for decades; they have financed civil society
NGOs, trained election observers, and advanced anti-corruption
campaigns.
The
foundation Renaissance in Ukraine, funded by the billionaire George
Soros, has paid for the lawyers of arrested Maidan activists,
coordinated civil society meetings,
and
provided financial support for care for the wounded. But this support
is not enough to explain why thousands rose up in the middle of Kiev
against their rulers in winter 2014.
The fixation
on America’s power, the projection of a superior force, not only
reflects a worldview that is often upheld by a portion of the
nostalgic left that mourns for the old division of the world into
blocs. Above all, it reveals a lot about their image of the human
beings: that people are easily bought. That beliefs do not matter,
but are the result of perfidious manipulation. That a few million
dollars are enough to turn people into zombies who go out onto the
streets and put their lives at risk.